Climate Shock, Food Insecurity, and Agricultural Resilience in Import-Dependent States

Abstract

This article examines the structural vulnerability of import-dependent states to climate-driven food disruption. It argues that food insecurity in such settings is produced by the interaction of climatic shocks, weak domestic production systems, import concentration, and inadequate storage, logistics, and financing arrangements. The article contends that resilience cannot be reduced to increased output alone; it requires institutional redesign across water management, extension services, crop diversification, trade policy, and emergency reserves. Drawing on contemporary food-security and climate literature, the analysis shows that climate stress now affects food systems through multiple channels at once: production losses, price volatility, transport disruption, and declining affordability. Import-dependent states therefore need a dual strategy that strengthens local productive capacity while managing external supply risk. Resilience, in this sense, is not agricultural romanticism but a function of national security.